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Integration of wind power industry faces the most injury threshold for upper primary business
China's wind power generator industry, overcapacity is a relative surplus is at a lower level of absolute surplus. To solve the so-called problem of excess capacity of wind power, we must first understand this. The development of this industry is not too far, but just beginning. Remember that a good grasp of policy control and the degree of direction, Do not let the industry because the regulation results in lost opportunities
Wu Ming Zhejiang wind power equipment manufacturers, a person in charge, since the "wind power equipment manufacturing industry access standards (draft)" was unveiled, and he began to consider the company familiar with the joint, to expand the business scale to meet relevant standards.
"Sit tight line business Tai, second-line business a little waves, three-line businesses to seek joint or transfer." Wu Ming commented on "wind power equipment manufacturing industry access standards" on wind power equipment manufacturing businesses.
March 25, 2010, by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the National Development and Reform Commission and National Energy Board to study and co-organized the drafting of the "wind power equipment manufacturing industry access standards (Draft)" issued for comments and recommendations The closing date for April 20, 2010.
Analysts believe that the "wind power turbines equipment manufacturing industry access standards" (hereinafter referred to as "" access standards "") issued just around the corner, "access standards" will improve the industry barriers to entry, industry structure, or will appear variable.
High threshold, most small businesses hurt
According to draft, "access standards" includes three aspects: New wind turbine manufacturer must have the production capacity of 2.5 megawatts or more stand-alone, annual production of 1 million kilowatts more than annual production of the necessary conditions and all production facilities ; enterprises Extension should have accumulated less than 50 million kilowatts of installed performance; new wind turbine manufacturer should have at least five years experience of large-scale electromechanical industry practitioners.
"Access standards" of the draft also noted that the establishment of enterprises in production, the establishment of wind turbine manufacturers to comply with state industrial policies and wind power equipment manufacturing industry development planning, investment in own funds shall be no less than 30 %. This means that there is intention to enter the wind power equipment manufacturing industry, investors need to have strong financial strength.
China Wind Energy Association Vice President Ma Xuelu view, the Ministry of Industry and wind power equipment access standards is relatively high. He said that from the current status of China's wind power machine of view, the machine can achieve the above criteria are not more than 10 manufacturers. Statistics show that the current domestic Fan with more than 80 manufacturers.
Golden State Securities electrical equipment and new energy, said researcher Zhang Shuai, the wind power industry is expected to introduce the industry standard in the market, the "access standards" on the high standards of production has been large enterprises have little impact in larger, are the into the wind power industry but do not meet the access standards for small businesses, these enterprises in the fierce market competition will gradually be eliminated.
It is understood, gold wind, sharp and East China mini wind generators equipment, steam was produced three leading companies, the three companies have accounted for more than half the market share. Not long ago, Chinese Wind Energy Association, a group given the latest statistics, as of the end of 2009, China installed capacity of 3,495,000 kilowatts sharp new gold new installed capacity of 2,722,000 kilowatts wind, East steam capacity of 2,035,000 kilowatts new, 3 companies total 8.252 million kilowatts, accounting for 59.7% of new markets. Other manufacturers do not add a maximum capacity of 80 million kilowatts.
Ministry of Industry and Equipment Department under the interpretation of the existing wind generators manufacturers do not meet the "access standards" should be "access standards" within a certain time after the enactment of rectification, the rectification is not compliance, it may not enjoy the state investment , taxation, land, environmental protection and credit policies to support, not included in the "wind turbine manufacturer qualified vendor list."
The face of "access standards", small businesses how to do? Has entered, so that they withdraw, for fear is not willing. Wu Ming, said: "Wind Power Manufacturing even if only 2 million kilowatts of orders, about 200 million yuan in output value, this line is still in the up cycle, I do not intend to quit." "A majority of companies need to combination, or trying to sell to new entrants to the large enterprises. "According to Wu Ming is estimated that the number of joint or transfer of the business may reach 70 or so of his own companies are listed.
Wu Ming told the "New Economy" reporter, his business at present installed capacity of only about 60,000 kilowatts, and "not less than 500,000 kilowatts," the benchmark very different, even if the expansion of short-term compliance is difficult, therefore, only can consider the joint with their peers. Industry experts said that "access standards" promulgated, will further aggravate the polarization of the domestic machine manufacturing trends, strong companies will be stronger, weaker companies either being home wind turbines eliminated or merged portfolio.
Emphasize technology R & D to Understand the problem hollowing
"Access standards" in addition to wind power equipment manufacturers to set the size of the provisions, but also on the company's R & D capabilities have made requests.
"Access standards (draft)" providesvertical wind turbine manufacturers should be a professional R & D team, professional covering aerodynamics, structural analysis, mechanical, hydraulic, electrical, automation, software development and other fields. In addition, the machine should have a wind turbine design and development technology, with wind turbine design and development software, and the corresponding machine aids.
In technological progress, the draft said to strictly limit the wind turbine manufacturing enterprises unit capacity of 2.5 MW wind turbine machine the following technologies or to purchase the production license. Wind turbine manufacturer should give priority to development of independent intellectual property rights and higher unit capacity of 2.5 megawatts of wind turbine industry; priority to the development of offshore wind turbine industry. Wind turbine manufacturers should increase vertical wind turbines investment in product development, research funding into account the proportion of sales revenue less than 5%.
It is understood that in 2005, is only a few domestic manufacturers of wind power and small scale, backward technology, construction of wind farms rely mainly on imports. However, the "wind power equipment localization rate to reach more than 70% localization rate does not meet the equipment requirements do not allow construction of wind farms," the policy's encouragement, launched around the rush of wind power projects, China as the upper hand power of the fastest growing countries.
However, the amount of light there is and can not represent the level of industrial development, "Technical hollowing out" of wind power manufacturing industry in China can not avoid the issue. In 2009, China's wind power installed capacity of 13,803,000 kilowatts new wind power installed capacity to overtake Germany to become the second. However, in the joint development of new models during the design is still the main square outside the Chinese have not fully grasp the overall design of wind turbine core technology, and most enterprises do not have core technology, only function as assembly plants.
Secretary, Ministry of Industry and equipped with wooden Zhang pointed out that "access standards" focuses advocacy to improve the level of industry innovation. At present, China has put into commercial operation of the wind turbine is basically the introduction and absorption of technology, based on mass production to achieve localization, the second innovation is limited to material selection and the local process improvement. It can be said of wind power equipment manufacturing industry is still in "technology transfer, absorption" to "independent innovation" in the transition phase.
Zhejiang arrival of wind power company in North China regional manager Jin Liping told reporters: "wind power equipment manufacturing industry is too much low-end capacity building," access standards "set the red line, it is asking for a new entrant into the Council, there should be supporting R & D, technical hollowing out of domestic situation. "
Inhibition industry overcapacity situation could change
"Access standards", is seen as inhibition of Wind Power Industry overcapacity and guide the healthy development of a new industry benchmark.
Last year, on wind, solar and other renewable energy production surplus once lively discussion. By the end of August 2009, wind power equipment manufacturing industry specialties by the State Council executive meeting point of excess, and in October included 10 ministries, six excess capacity and redundant construction industry "blacklist." In this context, "access standards" developed "high threshold", is not surprising.
Zhang Xiang Mu interview said that at present China's wind power equipment manufacturing industry overcapacity emerging trend, the main emphasis is reflected in the structure of machine-building manufacturing capacity, and quality stability, critical infrastructure components supporting capacity inadequate. Therefore, the "access standards" aimed at wind turbine (machine) the manufacturer, to establish the threshold of unit capacity and output, will effectively stop new entrants to trigger price war as the main means of vicious competition.
Several leading Chinese wind power equipment company CEOs recognize that there exists an excess of the industry, but this surplus is relative, to achieve independent research and development of wind power machine enterprise products in short supply. Wuhan Iron and Steel in the Golden Wind CEOs view, "excess capacity" of the different impact of different enterprises. He said: "In the financial crisis, because by the surplus and cash from the 双重 Consequently, many OEM supplier have lower prices, the purchase cost Goldwind get down." However, those who have just acquired in a breeze machine accessories for simple assembly The machine businesses, the excess is a crisis.
One of anonymity power industry researchers say China's wind power industry, overcapacity is a relative surplus, more precisely, the lower the absolute level of surplus is caused by low levels of duplication, and our own of technical, certification system and standards are not perfect. Of course, this may be a trade from Green Hope maturity to go through the process.
In excess apparent when I, the Government will swing the sword macro-control, which had a significant excess of deterrence. But even if the Government did not timely macro-control, the market will gradually be digested this issue, because excess may come from the market economy. On the contrary, as long as there is an objective of profit, even if just looked so, even if the government policy of forcibly introduced to curb capital also will be roundabout, abused and lead into the. If pipe is too aggressive, it is possible to control the emerging industry dead, it missed the opportunity. Therefore, the market "access standards" inhibition effect of excess capacity should not have too many expectations.
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